Technical Analysis and Charting Signals
ABOUT AUTOCHARTIST
“An increasing number of clients are turning to technical analysis to help spot trends and trading opportunities.” Technical analysis tools can also help traders find ways to make money if stock markets trade sideways, which is probable, says David Jones, chief market strategist at IG Index.
One of the main reasons retail traders (private individuals like you and me) like technical analysis is because it is something they can easily understand and practice themselves, experts say. Technical analysis focuses on pure price action, reducing the role that emotions sometimes play in clouding a spread better’s judgment when trading.
In January, IG Index launched Autochartist, an automated technical analysis package that scans the markets in real time looking for opportunities that a trader might otherwise miss because of the time needed to monitor a number of markets or individual shares. (The package is free and available to IG Index clients direct from the trading platform. It has proved popular, registering more than 6,500 log-ons during January. )
WHAT IS “AUTOCHARTIST”?
It is an automated pattern recognition tool that monitors various markets on your behalf and can flag up when certain criteria are met. Traders will often look for patterns to try to forecast where the market will go next. They can set up Autochartist simply to scan the markets for patterns such as double tops, double bottoms, heads and shoulders, and so on. A double top is when a market rallies to the same or similar level a couple of times and fails to break through. Some traders believe this is a sign that the market is running out of steam and they should sell.
A double bottom is when the market drops to a same or similar level a couple of times and does not fall any further, a pattern that many view as a buy signal. For the more active traders, these scans can be working on very short-term charts, watching the markets during the day. For those with a slightly longer-term horizon, the application can look at a longer-term chart once a day to highlight any opportunities.
However, it would be wrong to view Autochartist as a magic wand that will find an endless number of guaranteed profitable trades. But it is definitely an effective way of tracking a number of markets without having to sit in front of the screen around the clock.” GFT offers its clients a fully integrated charting package that includes technical analysis tools such as Fibonacci, Gann and many more, as well as the Autochartist tool.
Technical analysis is a vast subject – there are hundreds of tools and methods that traders can use. Beginners tend to focus on foundation tools such as support and resistance levels, momentum and moving averages. Support and resistance levels are among the most common. These are price points that the market consistently hits and then reverses direction. Support usually refers to points that the price drops to before rising, while resistance refers to points that the price rises to before dropping.
Some traders choose to focus on specific areas such as Elliot Waves – a technical analysis technique that believes stock markets follow a pattern of five waves up and three waves down. City Index’s Mr Raymond says there are enough technical analysis tools to keep a trader “occupied for a lifetime”.
With the help of technical analysis and an abundance of markets to trade (beyond forex!) there will always be opportunities to find ways to earn extra money.
You can find out more about AUTOCHARTIST and some REVIEWS at their website.
Forex Robots – part 2
Here is part of the email that I received:
Hi Jurgen,
Have you noticed just how many new trading robots are coming onto the market? They are generally called EAs or expert advisors. One day they are here… the next they are gone… all hype – all B.S.
It just seems that every time I open my e-mail there’s a new EA
being launched. What I also noticed is that they all have names
that belong in comic books!Not only do most of them not work but it’s becoming more and
more apparent that this new bunch of EAs are really just a
marketing exercise.This is VERY annoying because EAs are probably the future of our profession. Not only that, they allow people with full-time jobs to take part in the market and a good EA can produce much higher results than just about any traditional Forex trading method.
This is one of the main reasons why I have been following The
Forex Robot World Cup… the biggest and most important
INDEPENDENT FX robot developers competition… real money – live trading!I wanted to see if these guys were the real McCoy. I wanted to
make sure they were transparent.Actually, let me rephrase that, I was hoping that these guys
were real because there’s really no one in this market prepared
to stick their neck out and lay it all on the line.
This actually was a marketing email as well. I chose it because of its reference to the FRWC. Some pertinent points that I highlighted perhaps demand greater awareness. These are in order from top to bottom
- the increasing number of EA’s / trading robots ( possibly a reflection of the rapidly increasing no. of lay- participants in the fx trade
- the short-lived existence of so many EA’s – if for no other reason than that markets change and will render even the best of EA’s redundant
- the high commercial attraction of EA’s giving a high success rate in marketing such products. Why? It frees the trader from taking responsibility in making trade decisions – more about this and the psychology of trading in another blog
- the belief that EA’s would form an essential part in future professional trading begs serious doubt – this would be a nice topic for a forum discussion
- that transparency of a trading sequence and its results are of crucial importance – as is your own meticulous record keeping. The fact that FRWC is trading a live account with real money is meeting 100% this requirement and thus is getting my vote for closer attention.
There you have it. I am not an affiliate to the Forex Robot World Cup,but I certainly may consider it at a future date. Nothing beats live, real account trading, pointing into the future, and then being scrutinized for its performance. This is real transparency.
Forex Robots
Today my attention has been drawn to forex robots, automated trading in other words. I always have been aware of it and, from time to time, examined various systems. Let me start with just what triggered writing this blog: I received an email this morning from a friend advising the end of an EA world competition and the opportunity to buy one of the world’s best automated trading system, one of the best of this EA competition.
Ok – so what is EA? It stands for EXPERT ADVISOR – a name coined by a trading platform called METATRADER, which is one of the most popular in the world. This platform allows you to devise / design trading systems that would operate automatically, executing trades by the rules and parameters that you have designed. You can test how this system would have performed for any period in the past. This is called “back testing”. Once you have designed your system so that it works it will be called Expert Advisor = EA, and it is saved so that you can use it at any time.
This facility is absolutely fantastic, especially for the more technical minded among us. If that fits your passion then definitely go for it!
Now the advantage(s) of an automated trading system is that you can try to achieve a “statistical edge”. This means that on average over a set period of time your trades will produce a positive closing balance, i.e. make profit! GREAT !!!! No wonder that many people are most passionate about this facility and opportunity as we all dream of making money without having to work too hard – or even not work at all – just follow our leisures and pleasures and make money, -guaranteed!
Are you still with me? Or have you rushed away to MetaTrader ?
Well, in case you are still around, let me tell you that it is not quite as easy as all that. Very briefly, if you want to trade seriously, you
- must act rigorously according to your trading rules; you can call them “Rules of Engagement” and you must stay focused on just a few rules,
- must keep meticulous record of your actions and their results,
- must evaluate those results to be able to determine future results the same actions may produce;
- must “tweek” and refine your Rules of Engagement (RoE) which make up your system until you are confident that the outcome will be positive, that is you make a profit.
Now you have designed an EA you can trust: you have designed a trading system with a “statistical edge”", meaning your winning results ( which is not necessarily the number of your winning trades!) will out-perform your losses. CONGRATULATIONS!
Some like-minded people have come together and created a website promoting and featuring a competition to find the best EA’s at a given point in time. This is how they introduce themselves:
The Forex Robot World Cup (FRWC) competition was established by a group of Forex traders and system developers with an important mission:
“Creating the first truly professional, automated Forex trading competition that would yield the world’s best functioning Expert Advisor (EA) driven by realistic parameters in live market conditions, and allowing Forex traders all over the world to use these Forex robots in their personal trading.”
More about this and the email I received today in my next blog.
What is the Yen doing?
short answer: ???
I really haven’t had any time to dedicate to fx at the moment, thus decided to post a little ad which gives just as many answers, but well done, I think. There is plenty of fx education around, so I will not re-invent the wheel, but only present perspectives.
With best wishes for a successful and prosperous 2010!
Introduction to Japanese Candle Charts
These candles are not as “seasonal” like Christmas candles. Japanese Candles happily ignite every second of every day all year and every year on the charts, thanks to ever-improving computer technology. With the information avalanche on this subject it is very easy today to become well-informed and develop good trading habits. However, there are still many misconceptions and misinterpretations due to the number of “cowboys” in this industry – many are self-taught, like the pop musicians I met in the 60′s and 70′s : they couldn’t read, but were excellent musos displaying amazing skills. And, mind you, some of them even call themselves ‘professionals’ and worse, they charge you money! Oh the pain! Only to find out when it is too late! Been there, done that! – over the last ten years.
I did mention somewhere before that I have been lucky enough to meet also some great teachers, both, for free and for fee, worth every cent and every minute spent. Those are the people I want to share with you in this blog.
Those teachers who avail themselves to affiliation I am proud to take this opportunity, indeed, privilege. In this spirit I want to recommend Steve Nison and his expertise on Japanese candlesticks. He is ‘THE” original expert on the subject and has produced many books and lectures. He simply is a ‘must have’ teacher to ensure success in playing the forex market. If you are not sure what “candles” are, then watch this short and very basic video.
ps. nearly forgot: Do check out his Pre-launch Special: “Profiting in Forex DVD Workshop”
” ONE MINUTE CANDLES ”
- and introduction to Japanese Candle Charts
3 Easy Steps To Get Started In Forex Trading
(A) BASIC REQUIREMENTS for your road to success are:
- a PC and fast internet / ADSL connection
- some Spare Time to learn and practice
- Patience and Self Discipline
- know where to find the best Information and use it
The first two are already under control as you are reading this, the third will be an ongoing theme and exercise as you develop into a successful trader, and the fourth I will be helping you with here.
(B) SETTING-UP FACILITIES
- INFORMATION: There are many sites that offer brilliant and comprehensive facilities and information. Two of my favorite sites are Forex Street and fxFactory. You will find on both sites an abundance of useful information and tuition. This can be very time consuming, especially when you get side-tracked with discussions in forums, &c. You will find there is an absolute flood of info, and, if not careful, you may succumb to information overload, getting you down rather than propelling you forward. I recommend to click on those two sites and bookmark them as you will become a regular visitor. (NB. 10 years ago one had to pay for this quality content ! )
- TRADING: I used several sites over the last ten years, but my two favorites are fxSolutions and FXCM. Both sites offer FREE DEMO Accounts, CHARTING software and EDUCATION. FXCM I find more vibrant and comprehensive, fxSol low key with great service, reliable and great charting software, intuitive and very easy to use. I am using their Accucharts for all my analytical studies. Again, click on their respective links to log in and download their free wares – absolutely FREE ! no charges! Silch! And you can start “trading” within the next 5 minutes . . . and demolish thousands of dollars without pain! When you have killed and account, you can start another one. However, I want to impress on you now that it would be much better to take your demo account very serious, as if it was your real money you put up front. Do treat it with respect and utmost caution. You still will demolish a few, but the more mistakes you can make without actually paying for it the more you will learn, the better your experience. So, what are you waiting for? Go for it! Choose one to start and keep it simple. Here are the links again: fxSolutions and FXCM.
- FIRST ACTIONS: Now you have downloaded a free DEMO ACCOUNT and CHARTING Software. Do some background reading, explore and click your way through anything that arouses your curiosity. I will try to create a short video to explain these steps again, before moving on to charting and the info we gain from there. CONGRATULATIONS! You’ve taken the first step.
To see a visual demonstration of the above view this 9min video
Curious about foreign exchange trading?
- Foreign exchange trading, or fx trading for short, has been practiced for a long time, but was relatively inaccessible to the general public. The advent of advanced computer technology made possible easy access to worldwide stock exchanges and financial markets. At the same time analytical and trading facilities have and continue to become easier to understand and to follow for the lay person – like you and me. I have occupied myself learning and working with fx trading and witnessed remarkable changes, even within this short period of ten years, especially with regard to
- Learning facilities
- targeted and up-to-date supply of information (fundamentals)
- technical analysis facilities
All of this is available at no or very little cost to the user.
It is surprising how many people do not know anything about fx trading, indeed almost panic in fear that this is something where you would so easily lose home and all your possessions – impending disaster! While this is a very powerful prejudice to keep people away from this market, the increasingly tough economic times as well as the more common greed and lust for money is now bringing large numbers to this market, that now has a turnover of over 3 trillion.
What I would like to achieve in this blog is to mitigate the fear and ignorance and offer some help to become familiar with what is the “ultimate business” available to everyone at this point of time. Here is why I think so:
- easy access via your pc
- easy practice trading and learning with NO ACCOUNT CAPITAL required
- FREE use of all facilities and info you can lay your hands on
- unbiased, objective / independent market action with no hidden costs and surprises
- No external pressure to act,spend money or risk you hard-earned savings
- accountability ONLY TO YOURSELF – ( you will get to know yourself as you never did before, trust me on this! )
- INSTANT GRATIFICATION when you are ready – without the trauma of hope – fear – panic or great exhaultation, – - – just a quiet and happy pocketing of what you have worked for
- a wonderful income opportunity to leverage on other people’s money – this is what all investment schemes have in common: you must risk to reap reward
- a constant daily renewal of opportunities – eliminating any concerns that you have “missed your big,once in a life-time, chance”- it happens all the time.
This is what I love about fx. This being a new blog needs to grow and be intelligently organised to be useful. I would very much appreciate to receive some comments and questions especially from “newbies” to help make this blog worth the visit to all viewers.
Outstanding tuition and mentoring contact!
As it happens this past week I have purchased and became familiar with one of the best mentors I have met over the last ten years: Dr Barry Burns.
Some trading experience is necessary to be able to fully understand and make use of his ideas. However, his explanations of how a live market situation evolves and the psychological driving forces of that market are very clear and easy to understand, and, of course, easy to follow and test for yourself.
I do make a point of listening regularly to trade-related webinars. It was on such an occasion that I met Dr Barry Burns. I was very impressed with his presentation which led me to have a closer look of what he had to offer, and, there you have it: I simply had to buy his courses, even though I am an experienced trader of 10 years !
I just could not wait to mention his tuition until I am ready with my ‘blog design’ of content, because information of this nature is not only exciting, but also very important. There is no date too early to get acquainted, and use it! Trading is an activity where you never stop learning, having new experiences and challenging old ones. This is what makes it fun and interesting.
Just look at the kilometers of books in the libraries written about trading methodologies, sure-fire systems, market explanations, &c, &c ! Listen to current reports, Bloomberg or any other of the world information leaders, and you’ll find that in the end there always remains this degree of uncertainty, i.e. the human behaviour and psychology underlying major movements, as well as fundamental economic drivers.
Well, Dr Barry Burns as a professional psychologist and experienced technical analyst is revealing some very enlightning market interactions – well worth to check it out!
HELLO AND WELCOME TO ALL MY VISITORS!
This is a great day of joy and anticipation for me to see this new blog come alive!
I have been playing and exploring the foreign exchange market, the forex, for almost 10 years now and have reached the stage that I would like to share my experience and experiences with other like-minded folk.
I will keep this Welcome very brief as I wish to write an article ABOUT me to introduce myself and give people an idea of where I am coming from and giving a brief outline of what this blog will be about. Then I will continue with regular articles.
So, please be patient. I am actively trading as I am writing this and will be frequently interrupted. Please come back soon and view the ABOUT page before reading on. I very much hope that when visiting this site your experience will be pleasant and rewarding. Please keep on coming back !
Jürgen Waibel










